Minggu Depan 29 Mei - 2 Juni
FUNDAMENTAL DAN TEKNIKAL EUR/USD
Pair closed last week’s trading session lower on upbeat US economic releases, backed by hawkish FED comments. The better than expected US durable goods orders and FED’s comments for another rate hike in June, was more than expected to push the pair lower as demand for the US Dollar continues to surge. From the ECB side the comments were more over the same highlighting once again that the central bank will maintain its policy unchanged until inflation will come back to normal levels. ECB kept the door open for another 1.5% increase in interest rate in the near future. Although the comments failed to overcome US Dollar strength.
As for this week, Traders and investors, will mainly focus on the US Non-Farm payroll number due to be released on Friday showing an additional 180K new jobs. The CPI numbers from Germany and Europe will be the biggest catalyst behind Euro’s next move. A lower than expected number may add downside pressure on the pair as it will weigh on ECB’s decision for another rate hike.
On the economic calendar, we have on Wednesday, German Harmonized index of consumer prices pointing lower at 6.9% On Thursday, European Harmonized index of consumer prices expected lower at 6.3%, US ADP employment expected negative at -22K and US ISM manufacturing PMI lower at 47. On Friday Non-farm payroll expected to show an additional 180K new jobs.
Technically the picture is negative after last week’s break below 38.2% and close just above (50%). In this week’s trading session if pair continues on the downside will test 1.0625 (61.8%) A break and close below 1.0625 (61.8%) will accelerate losses and open the road for 1.0500.If pair resumes upside it will test 1.0815 (38.2%) before attempts to go higher at 1.0930 (23.6%) Our traders are long at 1.0715 targeting profits above 1.1000 We are expecting more aggressive buyers at 1.0620 and short sellers to appear above 1.0923 (23.6%)
FUNDAMENTAL DAN TEKNIKAL GBP/USD
Pair closed last week’s trading session lower on FED’s hawkish comments for another rate hike in June. The economic releases from both sides came out better than expected and that kept pair marginally lower as demand for both currencies was balanced, the higher than expected inflation release in the UK added pressure on BOE to continue hiking rates although the US Dollar demand was higher and kept the pair lower.
As for this week, traders and investors will focus on the US non-farm payroll due to be released on Friday. The lack of any economic releases from the UK will keep the pair trading in the mercy of the US Dollar.
On the economic calendar we have on Thursday, the US ADP employment with negative expectation of -27K jobs and the US ISM Manufacturing PMI also lower at 47. On Friday, US non-farm payroll expect to show 180K new jobs added during the month of May.
Secara teknikal pasangan ini netral setelah penutupan minggu lalu di bawah (23.6%) Untuk minggu ini jika pasangan ini melanjutkan kenaikan, perlu menembus dan menutup di atas 23.6% untuk menguji ulang 1.2650 Alternatifnya jika diperdagangkan pada sisi negatifnya, akan menguji ulang 1.2200 (38.2%) Penjual pendek berdiri antara 1.2200 - 1.2400 menargetkan keuntungan di 1.2000, kami mengharapkan penjual pendek yang lebih agresif dalam perjalanan naik dan pembeli baru muncul di sekitar 1.2200 yang menargetkan keuntungan di atas 1.2500
Untuk acara kalender ekonomi yang lebih terperinci, silakan kunjungi kalender ekonomi langsung kami di:
http://tentrade.com/economic-calendar/
*Materi ini tidak mengandung penawaran, atau ajakan untuk, transaksi dalam instrumen keuangan apa pun. Ten.trade tidak bertanggung jawab atas penggunaan apa pun yang mungkin dilakukan atas komentar-komentar ini dan atas segala konsekuensi yang diakibatkannya. Tidak ada perwakilan atau jaminan yang diberikan mengenai keakuratan atau kelengkapan informasi ini. Oleh karena itu, setiap orang yang bertindak berdasarkan informasi tersebut sepenuhnya atas risiko mereka sendiri. CFD adalah produk dengan leverage. Trading CFD mungkin tidak cocok untuk semua orang dan dapat mengakibatkan hilangnya semua modal yang Anda investasikan, jadi pastikan Anda memahami sepenuhnya risiko yang terlibat.
Anda harus masuk untuk berkomentar.