Week ahead September 12th – 16th

欧元/美元的基本面和技术面

Pair closed last week’s trading session marginally higher after recovering some lost ground from the dovish comments of ECB’s president Lagarde. The ECB increased rates by 0.75% on last week’s meeting, although, the comments from Christine Lagarde, saying that, it was premature to hike rates, were taken negative from markets and brought the pair lower. Few ECB’s officials save the currency after their hawkish comments that overshadowed Lagarde’s comments. ECB’s officials are highlighted that more rates will follow until inflation will come to its normal levels. This helped the pair to recover and close just on its crucial level of farther recovering.

As for this week market participants will mainly focus on the Inflation numbers from both continents. As both central banks are now focusing on inflation and energy crisis, the rest of economic releases will be having lower impact for now. Speeches from ECB’s officials are something to be monitor for clues of what’s next in the ECB. Price cap on Russian oil products is one of the most important decisions the EU is going to take as Russia is threatening to completely closing down any energy products supply to EU, something that will bring EU into chaos and most probable recession. Such scenario will have huge negative impact on Euro and could bring the pair into new lows.

在经济日历上，我们有周二，德国消费者价格协调指数保持不变，为8.8%美国消费者价格指数预期走高，为6%周四，美国零售销售将保持不变，为0%周五，美国密歇根消费者情绪走高，为59.8

Technically the picture is negative after last week’s closed below 23.6% In this week’s trading session if pair fails to resume upside move and turns down, will retest 0.9950, if breaks below 0.9950  will accelerate losses down to 0.9850. If pair manage to recover and close above (23.6%) could change the picture back to neutral and test next level of 1.0200 (38.2%). Our traders are net 100% long with positions opened between 1.0800 to 0.9900 targeting profits above 1.0800 In this week’s trading session we are expecting more aggressive long positions on the way down. Alternative if pair continues trading on the upside, we are expecting short sellers to appear around 1.0425 (61.8%)

英镑/美元的基本面和技术面

Pair closed last week’s trading session higher on UK’s new PM Liz Truss energy plan. As per her promises, she is planning to help households on energy bills and reduce the bills to no more than 2,500 pounds per year for a normal size household. In addition to the above, pound had time for relief last week as there were not any high impact economic releases from the US.

至于本周，市场参与者将关注通货膨胀数字和双方的经济发布。美国好于预期的通胀数字将增加货币对的下行压力，因为交易员将开始为9月的新加息定价。从英国的角度来看，新首相的计划将得到市场参与者的好评，尤其是那些关注控制能源危机的人。

在经济日历上，我们有周一英国制造业生产指向较高的1.7%，周二，英国ILO失业率保持不变在3.8%，美国消费者价格指数较高在6%，周三，英国消费者价格指数预期较高在10.2%，周四美国零售销售保持不变在0%，周五，英国零售销售指向较低在-0.6%，美国密歇根消费者情绪较高在59.8。

Technically the pair is negative after last week’s close below 23.6% In this week’s trading session if pair manages to maintained last week’s upside momentum , we are expecting to test 1.1913 Alternatively if pair resumes downside will retest 1.1400 A break below 0% could accelerate losses down to 1.1300 Our traders are net long 100% with positions opened between 1.2200 to 1.1500 targeting profits above 1.2200 We are expecting more aggressive buyers on the way down and short sellers to appear around 1.2200

更详细的经济日历事件，请访问我们的实时经济日历。 

http://tentrade.com/economic-calendar/

*该材料不包含任何金融工具的交易要约或征求意见。TEN.TRADE对可能使用这些评论和由此产生的任何后果不承担任何责任。 没有代表 对这些信息的准确性或完整性不做任何保证。因此，任何根据这些信息行事的人完全是在 自己的风险.差价合约是杠杆产品。差价合约交易可能不适合每个人，并可能导致你失去所有的投资资本，所以请确保你完全了解其中的风险。