Week Ahead November 28th – December 2nd
欧元/美元的基本面和技术面
Pair closed last week’s trading session higher on the lack of any high impact economic releases form the US. FED’s officials continue to send dovish signals as for the central bank’s rate policy. The stable inflation number in the US shows that inflation posed to same level and this gives to the FED space to rethink their future interest rate policy. On the other side the ECB maintained a hawkish stance and signal more rate hikes ahead. The divergence between the two central banks is pushing investor into Euro bond demands and this will keep the pair trading on the upside.
As for this week market participants will mainly focus on the European inflation number and the US non-farm payrolls. A slow down in the US non-farm payroll could accelerate US Dollar selloff. A lower than expected European inflation could have negative impact on Euro as it will force ECB to reevaluate their interest rate policy. Decision over gas price cap is still pending between the 27 EU leaders. In case this will be achieved we are expecting a huge market reaction wit the Euro getting in troubled as Russia’s position is clear that any price cap on Russia gas, flow toward Europe will be completely cut off.
在经济日历上,我们有周二德国消费者物价协调指数走低在11.3%周三,欧洲核心消费者物价协调指数预计走低在10.4%美国国内生产总值保持不变在2.6P就业将显示额外的20万个新工作。周四,德国零售销售预期走低至-1.5%,美国ISM制造业PMI走低至49.8 周五,美国非农就业人数预期显示新增20.8万个就业岗位
Technically the picture is positive after last week’s close above 61.8% In this week’s trading session if pair continues on the upside and close above last higher level of (1.0500) could accelerate gains to full recovery of 100% Alternatively, if pair resumes the downside we are expecting to retest 1.0150 (50%). Our traders are sitting on the side and waiting for new indicators on either side. We are expecting short sellers to appear around 1.0600 targeting profits at 1.000 and new buyers around 1.0120 targeting profits above 1.0500
英镑/美元的基本面和技术面
Pair closed last week’s trading session higher on US Dollar’s selloff. The stable US inflation and the dovish comments from FED’s officials on future interest rate policy waived any chances for any rate hike in the next FED meeting. On the other side the GBP is gaining more lost ground as UK inflation still giving room for more rate hikes in the UK.
至于本周,市场参与者将关注美国非农就业数据。一个比预期差的数字可能会加速美元的下挫,并给该货币对提供更多的恢复空间。英国缺乏任何有影响力的经济数据,这将使该货币对受到其对应的美元的摆布。
在经济日历上,周三,美国国内生产总值将保持在2.6%不变,ADP就业将显示额外的20万个新工作。周四,英国制造业PMI将保持在46.2不变,美国ISM制造业PMI走低至49.8周五,美国非农就业人数预计将显示新增20.8万个就业岗位。
Technically the pair is positive as the pair closed above 61.8% registering new higher level. In this week’s trading session if pair manages to continue on the upside, will keep the overall picture positive and could open the road to more recovery up to 1.2200 Alternatively a reversal on the downside and a break below (61.8%) could retest 1.1590 (50%) Short sellers are standing firm between 1.1600 and 1.2100 targeting profits around 1.1738 we are expecting new buyers around 1.1800 targeting profits above 1.2100
更详细的经济日历事件,请访问我们的实时经济日历。
https://10tradefx.com/economic-calendar/
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