未来一周 9月19日至23日

欧元/美元的基本面和技术面Pair closed last week’s trading session unchanged after hovering around parity. The pair attempted to break lower on the surprising upbeat US inflation, although the downside was limited after the US retail sales disappointed  traders and kept them on hold for the next economic indicators that will weigh on FED rate decision. From the EU side the rhetoric is still the same around rate hikes with many mixed comments from ECB officials.As for this week market participants will mainly focus on the FOMC minutes and interest rate decision. Pair is already pricing in 0.75% rate hike on this meeting. If the FED will surprise with a 1% rate hike the pair will resume its downside momentum, as this will prove that the FED is willing to continue its aggressive monetary policy till inflation will go down to 2 -3%.On the economic calendar, we have on Friday, German composite PMI pointing lower at 46 and European Composite PMI also lower at 48.2Technically the picture is negative after last week’s closed below 23.6% In this week’s trading session if pair fails to resume upside move and turns down, will retest 0.9950, if breaks below 0.9950  will accelerate losses down to 0.9850. If pair manage to recover and close above (23.6%) could change the picture back to neutral and test next level of 1.0235 (38.2%). Our traders are net 100% long with positions opened between 1.0800 to 0.9900 targeting profits above 1.0800 In this week’s trading session we are expecting more aggressive long positions on the way down. Alternative if pair continues trading on the upside, we are expecting short sellers to appear around 1.0425 (61.8%) 英镑/美元的基本面和技术面Pair closed last week’s trading session lower on disappointing UK economic releases and on US surprisingly high inflation number that boosted possibilities of a full 1% rate hike on Wednesday’s FOMC. The high inflation in the UK is deteriorating the economic outlook of the country and this is weighing negative on GBP. On the other hand US dollar is becoming stronger as inflation is pushing the FED into more aggressive rate hike policy.As for this week market participants will focus on both central bank’s meetings and rate hike decisions. From the FED side a rate hike of 0.75% is already priced-in. From the UK side a 0.5% rate hike is pending to be priced in and  is taken negative by markets as is too small to save the pound. pending now for this pair’s traders is to understand from the this week’s central bank’s meetings the divergence between the two central banks, with the FED releasing its minutes on Wednesday and the BOE on Thursday.On the economic calendar there are no high impact economic releases apart from the two central bank’s minutes.Technically the pair is negative after last week’s new multi years lower registration. In this week’s trading session if pair manages to recover lost ground and close above 1.1650 (23.6%)  we are expecting to test 1.1820 (38.2%) Alternatively if pair continues on the downside will retest 1.1350 A break below 0% could accelerate losses down to 1.1300 Our traders are net long 100% with positions opened between 1.2200 to 1.1400 targeting profits above 1.2200 We are expecting more aggressive buyers on the way down and short sellers to appear around 1.1880 更详细的经济日历事件，请访问我们的实时经济日历。  https://tentrade.com/economic-calendar/*该材料不包含任何金融工具的交易要约或征求意见。TEN.TRADE对可能使用这些评论和由此产生的任何后果不承担任何责任。 没有代表 对这些信息的准确性或完整性不做任何保证。因此，任何根据这些信息行事的人完全是在 自己的风险.差价合约是杠杆产品。差价合约交易可能不适合每个人，并可能导致你失去所有的投资资本，所以请确保你完全了解其中的风险。