Week Ahead December 12th – 16th
欧元/美元的基本面和技术面
Pair closed last week’s trading session marginally higher on widening divergence between the two central banks. ECB officials on the one side are signalling more rates ahead. On the other side FED is signalling softer rate ahead. Last week’s better than expected economic releases in the US failed to give traction on the US Dollar and kept the pair hovering around monthly higher levels as traders and investors are siting on the side and waiting for this week’s rate decisions.
All traders and investors will be standby for this week’s high impact events highlighting the end for 2022, battle against inflation. The FED is due to release its monetary policy and rate decision on Wednesday. The central bank expected to hike rates by 0.25%, something that is already priced-in the pair’s exchange rate and if confirmed it will clearly signal that the FED is willing to stop hiking rates, that will result to triggering stronger selloff in US Dollar. ECB is due to release their monetary policy and rate decision on Thursday. The central bank expected to hike rates by 0.5% signalling stronger rates increases ahead in their fight against inflation.
在经济日历上，我们将在周二看到德国消费者价格协调指数为11.3，与上次相比没有变化。欧洲经济景气指数预计为-67.2，美国消费者价格指数为6.4%，周三FOMC会议记录将公布，加息预期为0.25%。周四，欧洲央行预计加息0.5%，美国零售销售预计降低0.3%。周五，德国制造业PMI预期为46.7，欧洲综合PMI为48，美国服务业PMI为46.2，持平。
Technically the picture is positive after last week’s close firm above 61.8% In this week’s trading session if pair continues on the upside could accelerate gains to full recovery of 100% 1.0750 Alternatively, if pair resumes the downside we are expecting to retest 1.0300 (61.8%). Our traders are short at 1.0500 targeting profits at 1.0300 we are expecting more aggressive sellers above 1.0600 Alternative if pair retreats on the downside we are expecting new buyers at 1.0300 targeting profits at 1.0600
英镑/美元的基本面和技术面
Pair closed last week’s trading session marginally lower after both GBP and US Dollar lost their traction for more gains. The better than expected US economic releases failed to fuel the US Dollar as traders and investors are looking into stocks for Santa rally. Both GBP and US Dollar traders stay on the side as they are bracing for the week ahead and the rate decision from both central banks.
As for this week market participants will focus on both central bank’s rate decision. The FED is signalling softer rate hikes ahead as the BOE is failing to give any future signals regarding rate hikes. The FED expected to raise rates by 0.25% on Wednesday’s FOMC. The BOE expected to raise rates by 0.5% on Thursday’s meeting. Traders and investors will be standby ahead of both meetings. The busy economic calendar of this week will generate huge volatility.
在经济日历上，我们有周一的英国国内生产总值指向负面，但好于上次的-0.1%英国制造业生产降低在-0.1%周二，ILO失业率稳定在3.6%美国消费者价格指数上升在6.4%周三，英国消费者价格指数预期上升在11.5%。周四，美国零售销售预期降低在0.3% 周五，英国零售销售预期降低在-0.2% 英国服务业PMI走高在49.2，美国服务业PMI不变在46.2
Technically the pair is positive as the pair closed just below 100% and hovering around higher levels. In this week’s trading session if pair manages to continue on the upside, will keep the overall picture positive and could open the road to more recovery up to 1.2500 Alternatively a reversal on the downside could retest 1.1200 (61.8%) Short sellers are standing firm between 1.1600 and 1.2300 targeting profits around 1.1738 we are expecting new buyers around 1.1200 targeting profits above 1.2300 The pair is sitting into an overbought territory and needs extra caution as a sharp downside correction could be around the corner.
更详细的经济日历事件，请访问我们的实时经济日历。
https://10tradefx.com/economic-calendar/
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