未来一周 10月24日至28日
欧元/美元的基本面和技术面
Pair closed last week’s trading session higher on the absence of any major economic releases from the US. The weekly speeches from FED’s Officials sent a mixed signal in the markets and kept the pair trading within the same range. Geopolitics and central bank’s rate decision are the keeping traders on hold, so as the pair.
至于本周市场参与者将主要关注欧洲央行会议和利率决定。该央行预计将加息0.75%。这将无助于货币对的交易走高，尽管它可能限制下行压力。如果央行出人意料地加息1%，这将有助于货币对交易走高，因为信号将是明确的，即央行愿意打击通货膨胀并稳定物价上涨。
在经济日历上，我们有周一，德国综合PMI指向45.4，制造业PMI指向47.2，欧洲综合PMI指向47.6，美国服务业PMI指向49。周四，欧洲央行利率决定和新闻发布会。美国国内生产总值预期走高至2.4%，耐用品订单走高至0.5% 周五，德国国内生产总值预期走低至-0.2% 德国消费者价格调和指数保持不变至10.9%，美国密歇根消费者情绪保持不变至59.8
Technically the picture is neutral after last week’s close above 23.6% In this week’s trading session if pair continues on the upside and close above (38.2%) could change the picture to positive and re-test next level of 1.0160 (50%). Alternatively, if pair reverse on the downside we are expecting to retest last low of 0.9550 (0%) We are expecting new buyers at 0.9550 targeting profits at 1.0000 Short sellers are still open at 1.0030 targeting profits at 0.9550 and we are expecting more sellers around 1.0000 (38.2%)
英镑/美元的基本面和技术面
Pair closed last week’s trading session marginally higher after is faced some sharp moves on both directions, upside and downside. The high volatility in the pair it was a result of UK’s government turmoil. The resignation of PM Liz added downside pressure on the pound, and create uncertainty in the market. Geopolitical turmoil and fears of a nuclear thread is weighing negative on the UK economy. High inflation is deteriorating the retail sales figures as Britons started to feel the higher pricing pressure. All the above negative events are confronting BOE’s efforts to stabilize inflation by hiking rates and is keeping the pair into consolidated mode. Moody’s downgrading UK’s rating from stable to negative, is making harder for the UK government to access borrowing facilities.
As for this week market participants will focus on the UK’s election of new PM. Sunak leads the race together with Boris Johnson. The new PM will have a heavy calendar with many responsibilities on his agenda. The UK’s come back in the borrowing markets, the inflation fights and the price stability is among the mayor issues.
在经济日历上，我们有周一，英国综合PMI指向较低的48.2英国服务业PMI较低的49周四，美国国内生产总值预期较高的2.4%和美国耐用品订单较高的0.5%周五，美国密歇根消费者情绪将保持不变的59.8
Technically the pair is positive as the pair closed marginally below 61.8% level at 1.1300. In this week’s trading session if pair manages to continue on the upside and close above 1.1300 (61.8%) will keep the overall picture positive and could open the road to full recovery up to 1.1900 Alternatively a break below 50% could accelerate losses down to 1.0900 We are expecting new buyers at 1.0700 and short sellers at 1.1800
更详细的经济日历事件，请访问我们的实时经济日历。
https://tentrade.com/economic-calendar/
*该材料不包含任何金融工具的交易要约或征求意见。TEN.TRADE对可能使用这些评论和由此产生的任何后果不承担任何责任。 没有代表 对这些信息的准确性或完整性不做任何保证。因此，任何根据这些信息行事的人完全是在 自己的风险.差价合约是杠杆产品。差价合约交易可能不适合每个人，并可能导致你失去所有的投资资本，所以请确保你完全了解其中的风险。
