{"id":3524,"date":"2026-08-17T06:43:02","date_gmt":"2026-08-17T06:43:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/?p=3524"},"modified":"2026-08-17T06:52:45","modified_gmt":"2026-08-17T06:52:45","slug":"weekly-market-outlook-gold-hits-4378-oil-gains-4-5-bitcoin-falls-to-62875-cadjpy-surges-1-59-whats-next-this-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/pt\/weekly-market-outlook-gold-hits-4378-oil-gains-4-5-bitcoin-falls-to-62875-cadjpy-surges-1-59-whats-next-this-week\/","title":{"rendered":"WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK : GOLD Hits $4,378 , Oil Gains 4\u20135% , Bitcoin Falls to $62,875 & CADJPY Surges 1.59% \u2014 What\u2019s Next This Week?\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

Introdu\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Os mercados financeiros globais encerraram a semana passada com um desempenho misto, \u00e0 medida que os investidores equilibraram dados econ\u00f3micos mais fracos dos EUA, expectativas em mudan\u00e7a para os bancos centrais, riscos geopol\u00edticos e forte din\u00e2mica acionista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No mercado cambial, CADJPY<\/strong> liderou os ganhos com uma subida de 1,59% (+179,3 pips)<\/strong> , enquanto NZDCAD<\/strong> caiu 0,72% (-59,2 pips)<\/strong>. O ouro subiu cerca de 0.8%<\/strong> para encerrar perto de 4.378 $\/oz, a prata manteve-se em torno de $64<\/strong> e o petr\u00f3leo bruto ganhou aproximadamente 4\u20135%<\/strong>, com o USOIL perto de 81\u201382 $<\/strong> e o UKOIL em torno de 87\u201388 $<\/strong>. O Bitcoin, no entanto, recuou de aproximadamente $65,000<\/strong> to $62,875<\/strong>, while U.S. stocks remained relatively strong, with the S&P 500 up about 0.4%<\/strong> e o Nasdaq a ganhar 0.1%<\/strong>, apesar de o Dow ter ca\u00eddo 0.6%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Olhando para a frente, os mercados v\u00e3o concentrar-se na infla\u00e7\u00e3o do Reino Unido e nas atas do FOMC dos EUA a 19 de agosto, com a infla\u00e7\u00e3o do Reino Unido prevista em 2.9%<\/strong>, enquanto os investidores avaliam a possibilidade de uma altera\u00e7\u00e3o das taxas da Fed em setembro. Os n\u00edveis-chave tamb\u00e9m continuar\u00e3o em foco: GBPUSD 1.35576<\/strong>, XAUUSD 4,332.56<\/strong>, USOIL 81.23<\/strong>, BTCUSD 62,175<\/strong>, and S&P 500 7.810\u20138.175<\/strong>, which could determine whether bullish momentum continues or markets enter a deeper correction. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Previous Week’s Important Events and Impact: <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Forex:<\/strong> CADJPY<\/strong> foi o par mais forte da semana passada, subindo subida de 1,59% (+179,3 pips)<\/strong>, apoiado por dados s\u00f3lidos do emprego no Canad\u00e1, com o desemprego a descer para 6.4%<\/strong>, pre\u00e7os do crude mais firmes e expectativas mais baixas de uma subida das taxas da Fed. Entretanto, NZDCAD<\/strong> foi o mais fraco, caindo 0,72% (-59,2 pips)<\/strong> , \u00e0 medida que expectativas de infla\u00e7\u00e3o mais fracas na Nova Zel\u00e2ndia e tens\u00f5es geopol\u00edticas impulsionaram a procura de USD como ativo de ref\u00fagio<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mat\u00e9rias-primas:<\/strong> O ouro manteve-se acima de 4.350 $\/oz<\/strong>, enquanto a prata ficou perto de 64 $\/oz<\/strong>, apoiada por dados mais fracos nos EUA e por expectativas reduzidas de uma subida das taxas da Fed. O petr\u00f3leo Brent negociou em torno de 83\u201389 $\/barril<\/strong>, impulsionado pelas tens\u00f5es no M\u00e9dio Oriente e pelas preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com o abastecimento atrav\u00e9s do Estreito de Ormuz<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cripto:<\/strong> O Bitcoin enfraqueceu de cerca de 65.000 $ para 62.875 $<\/strong>, refletindo preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com atrasos regulat\u00f3rios nos EUA, crescimento econ\u00f3mico e menores entradas institucionais. AKEDO (AKE)<\/strong> disparou mais de 91%<\/strong>, enquanto LAB<\/strong> caiu quase 20%<\/strong>, tornando-se um dos maiores perdedores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks & Indices:<\/strong> As a\u00e7\u00f5es dos EUA encerraram a semana de forma mista, com o S&P 500 gaining around 1.01%<\/strong> numa medida e 0.4%<\/strong> na leitura semanal mais ampla do \u00edndice, enquanto o Nasdaq subiu 0,1%<\/strong> para prolongar a sequ\u00eancia de ganhos para tr\u00eas semanas. O Dow Jones recuou 0,6%<\/strong>, pressionado por vendas fracas a retalho em julho, confian\u00e7a do consumidor mais fraca e pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo mais altos. Entre as a\u00e7\u00f5es individuais, a Broadcom (AVGO) caiu quase 6% em 14 de agosto<\/strong>, enquanto AMD<\/strong> e SanDisk<\/strong> posted gains. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eventos Importantes Desta Semana:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

FOREX : GBPUSD<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Taxa de Infla\u00e7\u00e3o do Reino Unido e atas do FOMC dos EUA:<\/strong> Esta semana, o mercado Forex ir\u00e1 focar-se em dois eventos-chave: Taxa de Infla\u00e7\u00e3o do Reino Unido<\/strong> dados na quarta-feira, 19 de agosto, \u00e0s 6:00 GMT, com uma previs\u00e3o de 2.9%<\/strong>, ap\u00f3s a queda de junho para 2.6%<\/strong>, principalmente devido \u00e0 diminui\u00e7\u00e3o dos custos de transportes e combust\u00edveis e atas do FOMC dos EUA<\/strong> \u00e0s 18:00 GMT, que poder\u00e3o fornecer mais pistas sobre uma potencial subida das taxas em setembro<\/strong> after three Fed officials supported a 25-basis-point increase in July.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

O GBP\/USD est\u00e1 a testar a resist\u00eancia-chave em 1.35576<\/strong>. Uma quebra e reteste acima deste n\u00edvel poder\u00e1 apoiar uma BUY<\/strong> em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a 1.37327<\/strong>, com SL 1.34965<\/strong> e RR em torno de 1:2.7<\/strong>. Uma rejei\u00e7\u00e3o poder\u00e1 desencadear uma SELL<\/strong> em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a 1.34488<\/strong>, com SL 1.35800<\/strong> e RR em torno de 1:2.7<\/strong>. Uma quebra abaixo de 1.34965<\/strong> refor\u00e7aria a perspetiva de baixa em dire\u00e7\u00e3o a 1.33819<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

METAIS : XAUUSD ( OURO )<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

O ouro subiu cerca de 0.8%<\/strong> na semana passada para encerrar perto de 4.378 $\/oz<\/strong>, depois de atingir cerca de $4,448<\/strong> antes de recuar devido \u00e0 realiza\u00e7\u00e3o de lucros. Os ganhos foram apoiados por infla\u00e7\u00e3o mais fraca nos EUA, apostas reduzidas numa subida das taxas e tens\u00f5es persistentes no M\u00e9dio Oriente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

O pre\u00e7o do ouro (XAUUSD) <\/strong>permanece de alta acima da linha de tend\u00eancia ascendente e suporte em 4.332,56<\/strong>. Bullish scenario:<\/strong> Comprar acima de 4,332.56<\/strong>, SL 4,266.45<\/strong>, TP 4,523.47<\/strong>, RR \u2248 1:2.9<\/strong>. Bearish scenario:<\/strong> Vender abaixo de 4,332.56<\/strong>, SL 4,380.00<\/strong>, TP 4,214.55<\/strong>, RR \u2248 1:2.5<\/strong>; um movimento mais profundo poder\u00e1 apontar para 4,141.65<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

ENERGY : USOIL & UKOIL<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

O petr\u00f3leo bruto ganhou cerca de 4\u20135%<\/strong> na semana, apesar de um 2%<\/strong> recuo tardio, com o USOIL perto de 81\u201382 $<\/strong> e o UKOIL em torno de 87\u201388 $<\/strong>. Os pre\u00e7os foram apoiados pelas tens\u00f5es no Estreito de Ormuz<\/strong> e pela estagna\u00e7\u00e3o da diplomacia EUA\u2013Ir\u00e3o, enquanto um aumento de 17,4 milh\u00f5es de barris nas exist\u00eancias dos EUA<\/strong> and weaker global demand forecasts limited further gains. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

O pre\u00e7o do USOIL<\/strong> permanece de alta acima da linha de tend\u00eancia ascendente e suporte em 81,23<\/strong>. Bullish scenario:<\/strong> Comprar acima de 82.45<\/strong>, SL 81.23<\/strong>, TP 85.38<\/strong>, RR = 1:2.4<\/strong>. Bearish scenario:<\/strong> Vender abaixo de 81.23<\/strong>, SL 82.45<\/strong>, TP 78.66<\/strong>, RR = 1:2.0<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CRIPTO : BTCUSD ( BITCOIN )<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

O o mercado cripto<\/strong> enfrentou forte press\u00e3o vendedora na semana passada, com Bitcoin<\/strong> a recuar para $62,875<\/strong>, Ethereum<\/strong> permanecendo abaixo de $1,900<\/strong> e a Solana<\/strong> a manter-se em torno dos meados dos 70 $<\/strong>. A queda refletiu realiza\u00e7\u00e3o de lucros, incerteza quanto aos atrasos na regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o cripto nos EUA e rota\u00e7\u00e3o dos investidores para a\u00e7\u00f5es e ativos ligados \u00e0 IA<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

O BTC\/USD 4H permanece de baixa a neutro, com 62,175<\/strong> como suporte-chave e 63,375<\/strong> como resist\u00eancia principal. Configura\u00e7\u00e3o de alta:<\/strong> BUY em 62,250<\/strong>, SL 62,050<\/strong>, TP 63,375<\/strong>, RR 1:5.6<\/strong> apenas ap\u00f3s rejei\u00e7\u00e3o de alta no suporte. Configura\u00e7\u00e3o de baixa:<\/strong> SELL em 62,100<\/strong> ap\u00f3s uma quebra confirmada abaixo de 62.175, SL 62,400<\/strong>, TP 60,193<\/strong>, RR 1:6.4<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

STOCKS & INDICES : S&P 500 Index<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week , U.S. equities extended their winning streak for a third consecutive week, although prices weakened toward the close. The S&P 500 climbed 0.4% to fresh record levels, while the Nasdaq posted a modest gain and the Dow slipped 0.6%. Softer inflation figures and upbeat corporate results supported sentiment, while disappointing retail sales and higher crude oil prices limited further gains. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

O SPX 4H mant\u00e9m-se fortemente de alta acima da linha de tend\u00eancia ascendente, com BUY em 7.810, SL 7.700, TP 8.175, RR 1:3.3<\/strong> se a din\u00e2mica de alta se mantiver, enquanto uma quebra confirmada abaixo de 7,458.53<\/strong> poder\u00e1 oferecer uma SELL em 7.440, SL 7.520, TP 7.210, RR 1:2.9<\/strong>; em alternativa, uma forte rejei\u00e7\u00e3o perto de 8,175<\/strong> poder\u00e1 proporcionar uma SELL em 8.150, SL 8.220, TP 7.458, RR 1:9.9<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Introduction Global financial markets ended last week with mixed performance as investors balanced softer U.S. economic data, shifting central-bank expectations, geopolitical risks and strong equity momentum. In forex, CADJPY led gains with a 1.59% (+179.3 pips) advance, while NZDCAD fell 0.72% (-59.2 pips). Gold climbed around 0.8% to close near $4,378\/oz, silver held around $64 […]<\/p>\n

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