{"id":4146,"date":"2026-11-09T07:25:42","date_gmt":"2026-11-09T07:25:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/?p=4146"},"modified":"2026-11-09T07:26:36","modified_gmt":"2026-11-09T07:26:36","slug":"weekly-market-outlook-9-13-november-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/id\/weekly-market-outlook-9-13-november-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Prospek Pasar Mingguan: 9\u201313 November 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

Setelah kinerja pasar yang beragam minggu lalu, dolar AS menguat 0,3% menjadi 102,30, emas memantul 5,0% ke $4.070, sementara minyak mentah WTI merosot 12,8% menjadi $90,83 dan Bitcoin turun kembali menuju $75.800. Saham AS juga melemah, dengan S&P 500 turun 2,7% dan Nasdaq kehilangan 3,4%. Minggu ini, 9\u201313 November 2026, perhatian beralih ke IHK AS<\/a> pada 10 November, PDB Inggris pada 12 November, IHP AS pada 13 November, laporan minyak OPEC pada 11 November, dan persediaan EIA pada 12 November. Investor juga akan memantau pidato The Fed, perkembangan geopolitik, arus ETF kripto, dan sentimen sektor AI menjelang rilis pendapatan NVIDIA pada 17 November. Peristiwa-peristiwa ini dapat menciptakan volatilitas signifikan di pasar forex, emas, minyak, mata uang kripto, dan saham global.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rekap Pasar Pekan Lalu<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"Market<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Forex:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Indeks Dolar AS (DXY) menguat sekitar 0,3%, ditutup di sekitar 102,30. Dolar mendapat dukungan dari data ketenagakerjaan AS yang lebih kuat dari perkiraan, dengan payroll nonpertanian Oktober meningkat 165.000 dibanding ekspektasi 65.000. Sementara itu, Bank of England dan Reserve Bank of Australia menaikkan suku bunga, menambah volatilitas pasar mata uang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Logam:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Emas pulih kuat, naik sekitar 5,0% dan ditutup di sekitar $4.070 per ons. Harga kembali bergerak di atas level psikologis $4.000 karena ketidakpastian geopolitik dan berubahnya ekspektasi terhadap kebijakan moneter AS memengaruhi permintaan aset safe haven.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Energi:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Harga minyak mencatat penurunan signifikan, dengan minyak WTI turun sekitar 12,8% ke sekitar $90,83 per barel. Harapan adanya kemajuan diplomatik antara Amerika Serikat dan Iran menurunkan premi risiko geopolitik, sementara perubahan ekspektasi pasokan turut berkontribusi terhadap penurunan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kripto:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin tetap berada di bawah tekanan, turun menuju $75.800 karena sentimen risk-off, ketidakpastian seputar saham teknologi, dan volatilitas pasar yang lebih luas membebani permintaan kripto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saham:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Saham AS mengalami pekan yang bergejolak saat investor menilai ulang valuasi AI, belanja teknologi, dan ketidakpastian regulasi. S&P 500 turun sekitar 2,7%, Nasdaq Composite anjlok 3,4%, sementara Dow Jones melemah sekitar 0,9%. Aksi jual besar-besaran pada saham semikonduktor dan teknologi turut berkontribusi pada kerugian pasar, meskipun rebound pada hari Jumat memberikan sedikit kelegaan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Indeks:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Indeks utama AS mencatat pergerakan harga yang tajam sepanjang minggu. S&P 500 ditutup di sekitar 7.376,86, Nasdaq Composite berakhir di sekitar 24.579,42, dan Dow Jones ditutup pada sekitar 51.285,73. Pelemahan sektor teknologi, data ketenagakerjaan AS yang lebih kuat, ekspektasi suku bunga, dan perkembangan politik tetap menjadi penggerak utama pasar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Peristiwa Penting Minggu Ini:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FOREX : GBPUSD<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

GBPUSD<\/a> kemungkinan mengalami volatilitas dari 9\u201313 November 2026, didorong oleh rilis data ekonomi utama Inggris dan AS. Pada 10 November, inflasi AS Oktober CPI AS<\/strong> (perkiraan: 0,3% bulanan vs. 0,6% sebelumnya) akan memengaruhi kekuatan dolar dan ekspektasi suku bunga The Fed; pada 12 November, PDB Q3 Inggris<\/strong> (perkiraan: 0,7% vs. 0,5% sebelumnya) dapat mendukung pound jika pertumbuhan melebihi ekspektasi. Selain itu, pidato Gubernur BoE Andrew Bailey<\/strong> pada 9 November dan Kepala Ekonom Huw Pill<\/strong> pada 10 November, bersama dengan PPI AS<\/strong> data pada 13 November (perkiraan: 0,4% vs. 1,3% sebelumnya), dapat memicu pergerakan harga lebih lanjut. Data inflasi AS yang kuat dapat melemahkan GBPUSD, sementara pertumbuhan Inggris yang lebih kuat dapat mendorong pasangan ini lebih tinggi.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

GBPUSD<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"GBP\/USD<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

GBPUSD diperdagangkan di sekitar 1,3349, menguji support kunci di dekat 1,3347 setelah menembus di bawah garis tren naik. Penembusan dan bertahan di atas 1,3347 dapat mendukung BUY menuju 1,3478, dengan kenaikan lanjutan ke 1,3500, sementara SL berada di sekitar 1,3301 dan RR sekitar 1:2,8. Penolakan dari zona resistensi\/garis tren 1,3380\u20131,3400 dapat memicu SELL menuju 1,3301, 1,3265, dan 1,3215, dengan SL sekitar 1,3478. Penembusan terkonfirmasi di atas 1,3478 akan memperkuat prospek bullish, sementara penembusan berkelanjutan di bawah 1,3301 dapat meningkatkan tekanan jual menuju 1,3265, 1,3215, dan 1,3184.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selalu terapkan manajemen risiko<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

LOGAM : XAUUSD ( EMAS )<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

XAUUSD kemungkinan akan mengalami volatilitas dari 9\u201313 November 2026, terutama didorong oleh data inflasi AS dan ekspektasi kebijakan Federal Reserve. Pada 10 November, CPI AS bulan Oktober (perkiraan: 0,3% vs. sebelumnya 0,6%) akan menjadi pemicu utama, sementara pada 13 November, PPI AS (perkiraan: 0,4% vs. sebelumnya 1,3%) dapat memengaruhi arah pasar. Pidato pejabat The Fed pada 9, 10, 12, dan 13 November, lelang obligasi Treasury, serta libur pasar obligasi AS pada 11 November juga dapat memengaruhi dolar, imbal hasil, dan likuiditas emas. Inflasi yang lebih lemah dan imbal hasil yang menurun dapat mendorong emas menuju 4.148\u20134.200, sedangkan inflasi yang lebih panas dan imbal hasil yang naik dapat menekan harga ke arah $4.000 dan $3.950.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

XAUUSD ( EMAS )<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"Gold<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Emas (XAU\/USD) diperdagangkan di sekitar 4.070,590, menguji resistensi kunci di dekat 4.070,590 sambil bertahan di atas support garis tren naik di sekitar 4.033,045. Penembusan berkelanjutan di atas 4.070,590 dapat mendukung BUY menuju 4.181,376, dengan SL di 4.033,045 dan RR sekitar 1:3,0. Penolakan di sekitar 4.070,590 dapat memicu SELL menuju 4.033,045, 4.003,094, dan 3.982,057, dengan SL di 4.181,376. Penembusan terkonfirmasi di atas 4.181,376 akan memperkuat prospek bullish, sementara penembusan di bawah 4.033,045 dapat meningkatkan tekanan jual menuju 4.003,094, 3.982,057, dan 3.961,019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selalu terapkan manajemen risiko.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ENERGI : USOIL <\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

USOIL kemungkinan mengalami volatilitas dari 9\u201313 November 2026, didorong oleh data persediaan AS, prospek pasokan OPEC, dan perkembangan geopolitik. Pada 10 November, EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook akan memberikan proyeksi terbaru pasokan dan permintaan global, sementara Laporan Bulanan Pasar Minyak OPEC pada 11 November dapat memengaruhi ekspektasi terkait produksi dan konsumsi. Laporan persediaan minyak mentah EIA pada 12 November akan menjadi katalis utama lainnya, dengan laporan sebelumnya menunjukkan penarikan 0,9 juta barel menjadi 409,8 juta barel. Negosiasi damai AS\u2013Iran yang berlanjut dan perkembangan di sekitar Selat Hormuz juga dapat memengaruhi risiko pasokan. Kenaikan persediaan, pemulihan produksi, dan melemahnya permintaan dapat mendorong minyak turun, sementara penarikan persediaan yang lebih besar atau gangguan pasokan yang kembali muncul dapat mendukung rebound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USOIL<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"WTI<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

USOIL diperdagangkan di sekitar 90,35, menguji resistensi kunci di dekat 90,42 setelah rebound dari support 86,93. Penembusan berkelanjutan di atas 90,42 dapat mendukung BUY menuju 93,54 dan 95,98, dengan target lanjutan di 97,69 dan 99,40, sementara SL berada di sekitar 86,93 dan RR sekitar 1:2,8. Penolakan di sekitar 90,42 dapat memicu SELL menuju 86,93 dan 81,48, dengan SL di 93,54 dan RR sekitar 1:2,8. Penembusan terkonfirmasi di atas 93,54 akan memperkuat prospek bullish, sementara penembusan di bawah 86,93 dapat meningkatkan tekanan jual menuju 81,48.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selalu terapkan manajemen risiko.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

KRIPTO : BTCUSD ( BITCOIN )<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

BTCUSD dan pasar mata uang kripto yang lebih luas kemungkinan akan mengalami volatilitas dari 9\u201313 November 2026, didorong oleh data inflasi AS, arus institusional, dan ketidakpastian regulasi. Pada 10 November, CPI AS untuk Oktober akan memengaruhi ekspektasi suku bunga Federal Reserve, sementara pada 13 November, PPI Oktober dapat memicu pergerakan lebih lanjut pada dolar dan aset berisiko. ETF Bitcoin spot AS mencatat sekitar $1,28 miliar arus keluar bersih antara 2\u20136 November, sehingga menimbulkan tekanan jual. Bitcoin juga turun ke sekitar $73.708 pada 8 November di tengah kekhawatiran atas regulasi kripto yang lebih ketat setelah pemilu paruh waktu AS dan laporan pelanggaran keamanan Binance senilai $6 miliar. Selain itu, pidato The Fed, penutupan pasar obligasi pada Veterans Day 11 November, dan kedaluwarsa opsi Bitcoin senilai $2,5 miliar pada 13 November dapat memengaruhi likuiditas dan volatilitas. Arus keluar ETF yang berlanjut dan kekhawatiran regulasi dapat mendorong BTC lebih rendah, sementara inflasi yang lebih lemah dan pembelian institusional yang kembali muncul dapat mendukung pemulihan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BTCUSD<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"Bitcoin<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) diperdagangkan di sekitar 74.300,94 pada grafik 4 jam, menguji support utama di dekat 74.128,24 setelah breakdown bearish yang kuat. Resistance berada di 74.915,95. Break yang bertahan di atas 74.915,95 dapat mendukung BUY menuju 76.894,18 dan 79.057,72, dengan target lanjutan di 80.577,35 dan 82.096,98, sementara break yang terkonfirmasi di bawah 74.128,24 dapat memicu SELL menuju 66.179,50, dengan SL di 74.915,95 dan RR sekitar 1:10. Breakout di atas 76.894,18 akan memperkuat prospek bullish, sementara breakdown di bawah 74.128,24 dapat meningkatkan tekanan jual menuju 66.179,50. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selalu terapkan manajemen risiko. <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SAHAM : NVIDIA <\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

NVIDIA (NVDA) kemungkinan akan mengalami volatilitas dari 9\u201313 November 2026, didorong oleh permintaan AI, sentimen sektor semikonduktor, dan data inflasi AS. Pada 10 November, angka CPI AS dapat memengaruhi ekspektasi suku bunga dan valuasi saham teknologi, sementara pada 12 November, laba Cisco dan Applied Materials dapat memberikan wawasan baru tentang permintaan infrastruktur AI dan belanja semikonduktor. Investor juga akan memantau laporan laba CoreWeave pada 10 November untuk sinyal mengenai investasi pusat data dan permintaan komputasi AI. Laporan laba Q3 NVIDIA yang akan datang pada 17 November, dengan analis memperkirakan EPS sekitar $2,49, dapat mendorong posisi sebelum laporan laba. Permintaan AI yang kuat, panduan laba yang positif, dan pesanan GPU yang berkelanjutan dapat mendukung NVDA, sementara aksi ambil untung, kekhawatiran valuasi, dan sentimen sektor teknologi yang lebih lemah dapat meningkatkan tekanan jual.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NVIDIA<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"NVIDIA<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

NVDA diperdagangkan di sekitar 186,69, menguji support kunci di dekat 181,95, dengan resistensi langsung di 189,74. Penembusan berkelanjutan di atas 189,74 dapat mendukung BUY menuju 195,08 dan 204,40, dengan target lanjutan di 212,64 dan 219,88. Penolakan dari 189,74 yang diikuti penembusan terkonfirmasi di bawah 181,95 dapat memicu SELL menuju 144,01, dengan SL di 195,08 dan RR sekitar 1:5,1. Penembusan terkonfirmasi di atas 204,40 akan memperkuat prospek bullish menuju 212,64, sementara penurunan di bawah 181,95 dapat mempercepat tekanan jual menuju 144,01.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selalu terapkan manajemen risiko.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

#ForexMarket #MarketRecap #TradingAnalysis #GoldTrading #OilTrading #BitcoinTrading #StockMarket #Nasdaq #RiskManagement #FinancialMarkets #TenTrade<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Following last week\u2019s mixed market performance, the U.S. dollar strengthened 0.3% to 102.30, gold rebounded 5.0% to $4,070, while WTI crude plunged 12.8% to $90.83 and Bitcoin retreated towards $75,800. U.S. equities also declined, with the S&P 500 falling 2.7% and Nasdaq losing 3.4%. This week, 9\u201313 November 2026, attention shifts to U.S. CPI on […]<\/p>\n

Read More… from Weekly Market Outlook: 9th – 13th November 2026<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4146","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-articles","category-outlook"],"yoast_head":"\nWeekly Market Outlook: 9\u201313 November 2026 | TenTrade<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Weekly market outlook for 9\u201313 November 2026: explore GBP\/USD, gold, WTI oil, Bitcoin and NVIDIA levels, inflation data and key market drivers.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/id\/weekly-market-outlook-9-13-november-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"id_ID\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" 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