{"id":4039,"date":"2026-10-27T07:39:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T07:39:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/?p=4039"},"modified":"2026-10-27T07:43:37","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T07:43:37","slug":"weekly-market-outlook-26-30-october-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/id\/weekly-market-outlook-26-30-october-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Prospek Pasar Mingguan: 26\u201330 Oktober 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"


<\/strong>Pasar keuangan memasuki pekan 26\u201330 Oktober 2026<\/strong> setelah kinerja yang beragam, dengan emas turun 4.1%<\/strong> ke sekitar $4,010,<\/strong> minyak mentah WTI<\/strong> naik sekitar 2%<\/strong> to $103.44,<\/strong> dan Nasdaq menurun 0.71%<\/strong>. Pekan ini, para trader akan fokus pada keputusan suku bunga utama<\/a> dari Selandia Baru, Kanada, AS, Eropa, dan Jepang, bersama PDB AS, data inflasi, laporan laba perusahaan teknologi besar, dan angka persediaan minyak. Peristiwa-peristiwa ini dapat memicu volatilitas di forex<\/a>, emas, minyak, Bitcoin, dan NVIDIA, sehingga disiplin manajemen risiko<\/a> penting.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rekap Pasar Pekan Lalu<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Weekly<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Forex:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Indeks dolar AS (DXY)<\/strong> turun tipis sekitar 0.09%<\/strong>, ditutup di sekitar 101.75.<\/strong> Dolar Australia dan dolar Kanada mengungguli mata uang utama, sementara euro tertinggal. Pasar bereaksi terhadap perubahan ekspektasi suku bunga, meningkatnya kekhawatiran inflasi, dan ketegangan geopolitik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Logam:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Emas<\/strong> mengalami tekanan jual yang signifikan, turun sekitar 4.1%<\/strong> ke sekitar $4,010<\/strong> per ons, setelah diperdagangkan di dekat $4,187<\/strong> lebih awal pada pekan ini. Imbal hasil Treasury yang lebih tinggi dan aksi ambil untung berkontribusi pada penurunan ini, dengan harga sempat jatuh di bawah $4,000<\/strong> pada hari Jumat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Energi:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Minyak<\/strong> harga naik di tengah meningkatnya kekhawatiran pasokan dari Timur Tengah. WTI<\/strong> minyak mentah naik sekitar 2.0%<\/strong> sepanjang pekan, ditutup di dekat $103.44<\/strong> per barel, sementara Brent<\/strong> minyak mentah Brent meningkat sekitar 1.6%<\/strong> ke sekitar $111.66<\/strong> per barel. Risiko geopolitik mendukung harga meskipun ketidakpastian pasar yang lebih luas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kripto:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin kesulitan mempertahankan momentum kenaikan, menutup pekan di sekitar $81,330,<\/strong> dengan penurunan tipis sekitar 0.06%<\/strong>. Harga berfluktuasi karena investor merespons ketidakpastian pada saham teknologi, perubahan selera risiko, dan volatilitas pasar yang lebih luas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saham:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Saham AS memberikan hasil yang beragam karena kekhawatiran atas belanja kecerdasan buatan dan valuasi teknologi membebani sentimen investor. The S&P 500<\/strong> turun sekitar 0.47%,<\/strong> sementara Nasdaq Composite turun 0.71%<\/strong>. Dow Jones Industrial Average naik sekitar 0.41%,<\/strong> dan Russell 2000 menguat 2.0%.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Indeks:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Indeks AS mengalami minggu yang volatil, dengan saham teknologi memimpin aksi jual pada hari Kamis. Nasdaq Composite ditutup mendekati 25,955.34<\/strong>, sementara S&P 500<\/strong> berakhir di sekitar 7,623.68.<\/strong> Dow Jones ditutup di sekitar 52,215.16<\/strong>, didukung oleh kinerja yang relatif lebih kuat di luar saham teknologi besar. Kenaikan harga minyak dan kekhawatiran inflasi tetap menjadi penggerak utama pasar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Peristiwa Penting Minggu Ini:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FOREX : USDJPY , USDCAD , EURUSD , NZDUSD<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Selandia Baru<\/strong> pada hari Rabu, 28 Oktober, pukul 1:00 AM GMT (perkiraan: 3%), Kanada<\/strong> pada pukul 1:45 PM GMT (2,50%) dan Amerika Serikat<\/strong> pada pukul 6:00 PM GMT (4%). Pada hari Kamis, 29 Oktober, Uni Eropa<\/strong> mengumumkan suku bunganya pada pukul 1:15 PM GMT (perkiraan: 2,65%), diikuti oleh Jepang<\/strong> pada hari Jumat, 30 Oktober (prakiraan: di bawah 1,25%). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

EURUSD<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"EUR\/USD<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

EURUSD<\/strong> diperdagangkan di sekitar 1.11818<\/strong>, menguji support utama di dekat 1.11789<\/strong> dalam tren turun yang lebih luas. Rebound di atas 1.12813<\/strong> dapat mendukung BUY menuju 1.13616<\/strong> dan 1.14181<\/strong>, dengan SL<\/strong> at 1.11789<\/strong> dan RR<\/strong> sekitar 1:0.8<\/strong> menjadi target pertama. Penolakan dari 1,12813 dapat memicu SELL menuju 1,08831, dengan SL di 1.12813<\/strong> dan RR<\/strong> sekitar 1:3.9<\/strong>. Penembusan di bawah 1.11789<\/strong> akan memperkuat prospek bearish menuju 1.08831.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selalu terapkan manajemen risiko.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

LOGAM : XAUUSD ( EMAS )<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

XAU\/USD<\/strong> akan dipengaruhi oleh keputusan suku bunga Federal Reserve<\/strong> pada hari Rabu, 28 Oktober, dengan suku bunga diperkirakan tetap di 3,75%\u20134,00%, diikuti oleh PDB Q3<\/strong> AS dan data inflasi PCE September<\/strong> pada hari Kamis, 29 Oktober. Inflasi yang kuat, kenaikan imbal hasil Treasury, dan dolar yang lebih kuat dapat menekan emas, sementara data yang lebih lemah dan dolar yang lebih lemah dapat mendukung pemulihan. Harga minyak dan ketegangan geopolitik juga akan memengaruhi permintaan aset safe-haven. Emas diperdagangkan di dekat $4.012\/oz<\/strong>, dengan resistance utama di $4,110<\/strong> dan support di sekitar $4,000<\/strong> dan $3,895. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Gold<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

XAU\/USD<\/strong> (Emas) sedang menguji support utama di sekitar 3.971,614. Rebound di atas 4.148,483 dapat mendukung BUY menuju 4,264.300<\/strong>, dengan SL di 3,971.614<\/strong> dan RR<\/strong> sekitar 1:0.7<\/strong>. Penolakan dari 4,148.483<\/strong> dapat memicu SELL menuju 3,574.909<\/strong>, dengan SL di 4,000.953<\/strong> dan RR<\/strong> sekitar 1:2.9<\/strong>. Penembusan yang terkonfirmasi di bawah 3,971.614<\/strong> akan memperkuat prospek bearish menuju 3.574,909.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selalu terapkan manajemen risiko.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ENERGI : USOIL <\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

USOIL akan digerakkan oleh Timur Tengah<\/strong> ketegangan geopolitik, data persediaan minyak mentah AS<\/strong> dan risiko pasokan<\/strong> global. WTI<\/strong> ditutup di dekat $103.27<\/strong> per barel pada 23 Oktober, naik sekitar 2%<\/strong> untuk pekan ini, sementara Brent mencapai $116.72,<\/strong> naik sekitar 6%<\/strong>, di tengah serangan terhadap infrastruktur energi<\/strong> Saudi. Peristiwa kunci adalah laporan persediaan minyak mentah EIA pada hari Rabu, 28 Oktober, penarikan stok lainnya dapat mendukung harga, sementara kenaikan stok yang tak terduga dapat memicu aksi jual. Gangguan yang berlanjut di sekitar Selat Hormuz<\/strong> dapat mendorong harga minyak lebih tinggi, sementara meredanya ketegangan dan pulihnya pasokan dapat menekan harga lebih rendah. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"WTI<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

USOIL (Minyak Mentah WTI)<\/strong> sedang menguji support kunci di sekitar 101.85.<\/strong> Rebound di atas 101.85<\/strong> dapat mendukung BELI<\/strong> menuju 111.01<\/strong>, dengan SL<\/strong> at 98.68<\/strong> dan RR<\/strong> sekitar 1:2.9<\/strong>. Penolakan dari 101.85<\/strong> dapat memicu JUAL<\/strong> menuju 98.68<\/strong>, dengan SL<\/strong> at 106.71<\/strong> dan RR<\/strong> sekitar 1:0.7<\/strong>. Penembusan di bawah 98.68<\/strong> akan memperkuat prospek bearish menuju 96.18.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selalu terapkan manajemen risiko.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

KRIPTO : BTCUSD ( BITCOIN )<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin dan pasar kripto akan dipengaruhi oleh keputusan Federal Reserve<\/strong> AS pada hari Rabu, 28 Oktober, dengan suku bunga diperkirakan tetap di 3,75%\u20134,00%<\/strong>, diikuti oleh proyeksi pertumbuhan PDB<\/strong> AS Q3 di 3.2%<\/strong> dan inflasi PCE September pada hari Kamis, 29 Oktober. Bitcoin sedang berjuang di sekitar $80,000<\/strong>, dengan titik terendah terbaru di dekat $79,100<\/strong>. Inflasi yang lebih tinggi, komentar hawkish dari The Fed, dan berkurangnya arus masuk ETF<\/strong> Arus masuk dapat menekan harga, sementara data yang lebih lemah, dolar yang lebih lemah, dan arus masuk institusional yang lebih kuat dapat mendukung pemulihan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Bitcoin<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

BTCUSD<\/strong> sedang menguji support kunci di sekitar 79,113<\/strong>, di dekat garis tren naik. Rebound di atas 79,827<\/strong> dapat mendukung BELI<\/strong> menuju 82,827<\/strong>, dengan SL<\/strong> at 79,113<\/strong> dan RR<\/strong> sekitar 1:4.2<\/strong>. Penolakan dari 79,827<\/strong> dapat memicu JUAL<\/strong> menuju 78,469<\/strong>, 77,950<\/strong> dan berpotensi 77,375<\/strong>, dengan SL<\/strong> at 82,827<\/strong> dan RR<\/strong> sekitar 1:0.5<\/strong> to 1:0.8<\/strong>. Penembusan tegas di bawah 78,469<\/strong> akan memperkuat prospek bearish menuju 77,950<\/strong>, 77,375<\/strong> dan 76,799<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selalu terapkan manajemen risiko.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SAHAM : NVIDIA <\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

NVIDIA (NVDA)<\/strong> dan Saham AS<\/strong> akan dipengaruhi oleh keputusan Federal Reserve<\/strong> pada hari Rabu, 28 Oktober, diikuti oleh data inflasi PDB Q3<\/strong> AS dan data inflasi PCE<\/strong> AS pada hari Kamis, 29 Oktober. Microsoft<\/strong> dan Alphabet<\/strong> laporan laba pada hari Rabu, dan Amazon<\/strong> laporan laba pada hari Kamis, akan menguji apakah investasi besar AI<\/strong> menghasilkan imbal hasil yang memadai. Dengan belanja modal hyperscaler diperkirakan sebesar $800 miliar<\/strong> pada 2026, laba yang kuat dan permintaan AI dapat mendukung NVIDIA<\/strong> dan saham teknologi, sementara panduan yang lemah, imbal hasil Treasury yang tinggi, atau sinyal hawkish dari The Fed dapat memicu aksi jual lanjutan. Laporan laba Intel dan Sandisk juga akan memengaruhi sentimen semikonduktor <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"NVIDIA<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

NVDA<\/strong> sedang menguji support kunci di sekitar 214.59<\/strong>, dengan garis tren naik memberikan dukungan tambahan di dekat 209.30<\/strong>. Rebound di atas 214.59<\/strong> dapat mendukung BELI<\/strong> menuju 229.85<\/strong>, dengan SL<\/strong> at 209.30<\/strong> dan RR<\/strong> sekitar 1:2.5<\/strong>. Penolakan dari 214.59<\/strong> dapat memicu JUAL<\/strong> menuju 209.30<\/strong> dan 205.15<\/strong>, dengan SL<\/strong> at 229.85<\/strong> dan RR<\/strong> sekitar 1:0,4 hingga 1:0,7<\/strong>. Penembusan tegas di bawah 209.30<\/strong> akan memperkuat prospek bearish menuju 205.15<\/strong>, 202.24<\/strong> dan berpotensi 199.33<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selalu terapkan manajemen risiko.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The financial markets enter the week of 26\u201330 October 2026 following a mixed performance, with gold falling 4.1% to around $4,010, WTI crude rising approximately 2% to $103.44, and the Nasdaq declining 0.71%. This week, traders will focus on key interest rate decisions from New Zealand, Canada, the U.S., Europe and Japan, alongside U.S. GDP, […]<\/p>\n

Read More… from Weekly Market Outlook: 26th – 30th October 2026<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-articles","category-outlook"],"yoast_head":"\nWeekly Market Outlook: 26\u201330 October 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Weekly market outlook for 26\u201330 October 2026: explore EUR\/USD, gold, WTI oil, Bitcoin and NVIDIA levels, central bank decisions and key economic data.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/id\/weekly-market-outlook-26-30-october-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"id_ID\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" 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