{"id":3524,"date":"2026-08-17T06:43:02","date_gmt":"2026-08-17T06:43:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/?p=3524"},"modified":"2026-08-17T06:52:45","modified_gmt":"2026-08-17T06:52:45","slug":"weekly-market-outlook-gold-hits-4378-oil-gains-4-5-bitcoin-falls-to-62875-cadjpy-surges-1-59-whats-next-this-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/fr\/weekly-market-outlook-gold-hits-4378-oil-gains-4-5-bitcoin-falls-to-62875-cadjpy-surges-1-59-whats-next-this-week\/","title":{"rendered":"WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK : GOLD Hits $4,378 , Oil Gains 4\u20135% , Bitcoin Falls to $62,875 & CADJPY Surges 1.59% \u2014 What\u2019s Next This Week?\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

Introduction<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les march\u00e9s financiers mondiaux ont termin\u00e9 la semaine derni\u00e8re sur des performances mitig\u00e9es, les investisseurs ayant trouv\u00e9 un \u00e9quilibre entre des donn\u00e9es \u00e9conomiques am\u00e9ricaines plus faibles, des anticipations changeantes sur les banques centrales, des risques g\u00e9opolitiques et une forte dynamique des actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sur le march\u00e9 des changes, CADJPY<\/strong> a enregistr\u00e9 les plus fortes hausses avec une progression de 1,59 % (+179,3 pips)<\/strong> , tandis que NZDCAD<\/strong> a recul\u00e9 de 0,72 % (-59,2 pips)<\/strong>. L\u2019or a grimp\u00e9 d\u2019environ 0.8%<\/strong> pour cl\u00f4turer pr\u00e8s de 4 378 $\/oz, l\u2019argent est rest\u00e9 autour de $64<\/strong> et le p\u00e9trole brut a gagn\u00e9 environ 4 \u00e0 5 %<\/strong>, avec USOIL pr\u00e8s de 81 $\u201382 $<\/strong> et UKOIL autour de 87 $\u201388 $<\/strong>. Le Bitcoin, en revanche, a recul\u00e9 d\u2019environ $65,000<\/strong> to $62,875<\/strong>, while U.S. stocks remained relatively strong, with the S&P 500 up about 0.4%<\/strong> et le Nasdaq en progression de 0.1%<\/strong>, malgr\u00e9 une baisse du Dow de 0.6%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

. \u00c0 venir, les march\u00e9s se concentreront sur l\u2019inflation britannique et le proc\u00e8s-verbal du FOMC am\u00e9ricain le 19 ao\u00fbt, l\u2019inflation britannique \u00e9tant pr\u00e9vue \u00e0 2.9%<\/strong>, tandis que les traders \u00e9valuent la possibilit\u00e9 d\u2019un mouvement des taux de la Fed en septembre. Les niveaux cl\u00e9s resteront \u00e9galement au centre de l\u2019attention : GBPUSD 1.35576<\/strong>, XAUUSD 4,332.56<\/strong>, USOIL 81.23<\/strong>, BTCUSD 62,175<\/strong>, and S&P 500 7 810\u20138 175<\/strong>, which could determine whether bullish momentum continues or markets enter a deeper correction. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Previous Week’s Important Events and Impact: <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Forex :<\/strong> CADJPY<\/strong> a \u00e9t\u00e9 la paire la plus forte de la semaine derni\u00e8re, progressant de progression de 1,59 % (+179,3 pips)<\/strong>, soutenue par de solides donn\u00e9es sur l\u2019emploi au Canada, avec un taux de ch\u00f4mage en baisse \u00e0 6.4%<\/strong>, des prix du brut plus fermes et des anticipations plus faibles d\u2019une hausse des taux de la Fed. Parall\u00e8lement, NZDCAD<\/strong> a \u00e9t\u00e9 la plus faible, en baisse de 0,72 % (-59,2 pips)<\/strong> , alors que des anticipations d\u2019inflation plus faibles en Nouvelle-Z\u00e9lande et les tensions g\u00e9opolitiques ont renforc\u00e9 la demande de USD refuge<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res :<\/strong> L\u2019or est rest\u00e9 au-dessus de 4 350 $\/oz<\/strong>, tandis que l\u2019argent s\u2019est maintenu pr\u00e8s de 64 $\/oz<\/strong>, soutenu par des donn\u00e9es am\u00e9ricaines plus faibles et la r\u00e9duction des attentes de hausse des taux de la Fed. Le Brent s\u2019est n\u00e9goci\u00e9 autour de 83 $\u201389 $\/baril<\/strong>, port\u00e9 par les tensions au Moyen-Orient et les inqui\u00e9tudes concernant les approvisionnements via le d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Crypto :<\/strong> Le Bitcoin a baiss\u00e9 d\u2019environ 65 000 $ \u00e0 62 875 $<\/strong>, refl\u00e9tant les inqui\u00e9tudes li\u00e9es aux retards r\u00e9glementaires aux \u00c9tats-Unis, \u00e0 la croissance \u00e9conomique et \u00e0 des flux institutionnels plus faibles. AKEDO (AKE)<\/strong> a bondi de plus de 91%<\/strong>, tandis que LAB<\/strong> a chut\u00e9 de pr\u00e8s de 20%<\/strong>, ce qui en a fait l\u2019un des plus grands perdants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks & Indices:<\/strong> Les actions am\u00e9ricaines ont termin\u00e9 la semaine de mani\u00e8re mitig\u00e9e, avec le S&P 500 gaining around 1.01%<\/strong> dans une mesure et 0.4%<\/strong> sur la lecture hebdomadaire plus large de l\u2019indice, tandis que le Nasdaq a progress\u00e9 de 0,1 %<\/strong> pour prolonger sa s\u00e9rie de gains \u00e0 trois semaines. Le Dow Jones a recul\u00e9 de 0,6 %<\/strong>, p\u00e9nalis\u00e9 par de faibles ventes au d\u00e9tail en juillet, un moral des consommateurs plus faible et des prix du p\u00e9trole plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s. Parmi les valeurs individuelles, Broadcom (AVGO) a chut\u00e9 de pr\u00e8s de 6 % le 14 ao\u00fbt<\/strong>, tandis que AMD<\/strong> et SanDisk<\/strong> posted gains. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c9v\u00e9nements importants cette semaine :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

FOREX : GBPUSD<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Taux d\u2019inflation au Royaume-Uni et proc\u00e8s-verbal du FOMC am\u00e9ricain :<\/strong> Cette semaine, le march\u00e9 des changes se concentrera sur deux \u00e9v\u00e9nements cl\u00e9s : Taux d\u2019inflation au Royaume-Uni<\/strong> donn\u00e9es mercredi 19 ao\u00fbt \u00e0 6 h 00 GMT, avec une pr\u00e9vision de 2.9%<\/strong>, apr\u00e8s le repli de juin \u00e0 2.6%<\/strong>, principalement en raison d\u2019un assouplissement des co\u00fbts de transport et de carburant et de Proc\u00e8s-verbal du FOMC am\u00e9ricain<\/strong> \u00e0 18 h 00 GMT, ce qui pourrait fournir de nouveaux indices sur une \u00e9ventuelle hausse des taux en septembre<\/strong> after three Fed officials supported a 25-basis-point increase in July.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

GBP\/USD teste une r\u00e9sistance cl\u00e9 \u00e0 1.35576<\/strong>. Une cassure suivie d\u2019un re-test au-dessus de ce niveau pourrait soutenir un BUY<\/strong> vers 1.37327<\/strong>, avec SL 1,34965<\/strong> et un RR d\u2019environ 1:2.7<\/strong>. Un rejet pourrait d\u00e9clencher une VENTE<\/strong> vers 1.34488<\/strong>, avec SL 1,35800<\/strong> et un RR d\u2019environ 1:2.7<\/strong>. Une cassure sous 1.34965<\/strong> renforcerait le biais baissier vers 1.33819<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00c9TAUX : XAUUSD (OR)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019or a grimp\u00e9 d\u2019environ 0.8%<\/strong> la semaine derni\u00e8re pour cl\u00f4turer pr\u00e8s de 4 378 $\/oz<\/strong>, apr\u00e8s avoir atteint environ $4,448<\/strong> avant de refluer sur des prises de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices. Les gains ont \u00e9t\u00e9 soutenus par une inflation am\u00e9ricaine plus faible, la r\u00e9duction des paris sur une hausse des taux et des tensions persistantes au Moyen-Orient.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Prix de l\u2019or (XAUUSD) <\/strong>reste haussier au-dessus de la ligne de tendance ascendante et de 4 332,56 de support<\/strong>. Bullish scenario:<\/strong> Achat au-dessus de 4,332.56<\/strong>, SL 4,266.45<\/strong>, TP 4,523.47<\/strong>, RR \u2248 1:2,9<\/strong>. Bearish scenario:<\/strong> Vente sous 4,332.56<\/strong>, SL 4,380.00<\/strong>, TP 4,214.55<\/strong>, RR \u2248 1:2,5<\/strong>; un mouvement plus profond pourrait viser 4,141.65<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

ENERGY : USOIL & UKOIL<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le p\u00e9trole brut a gagn\u00e9 environ 4 \u00e0 5 %<\/strong> sur la semaine, malgr\u00e9 un 2%<\/strong> repli tardif, avec USOIL pr\u00e8s de 81 $\u201382 $<\/strong> et UKOIL autour de 87 $\u201388 $<\/strong>. Les prix ont \u00e9t\u00e9 soutenus par les tensions dans le d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz<\/strong> et l\u2019enlisement de la diplomatie entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et l\u2019Iran, tandis qu\u2019une hausse des stocks am\u00e9ricains de 17,4 millions de barils<\/strong> and weaker global demand forecasts limited further gains. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Prix de l\u2019USOIL<\/strong> reste haussier au-dessus de la ligne de tendance ascendante et de 81,23 de support<\/strong>. Bullish scenario:<\/strong> Achat au-dessus de 82.45<\/strong>, SL 81.23<\/strong>, TP 85.38<\/strong>, RR = 1:2,4<\/strong>. Bearish scenario:<\/strong> Vente sous 81.23<\/strong>, SL 82.45<\/strong>, TP 78.66<\/strong>, RR = 1:2,0<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CRYPTO : BTCUSD (BITCOIN)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies<\/strong> a subi une pression vendeuse g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9e la semaine derni\u00e8re, avec Bitcoin<\/strong> reculant vers $62,875<\/strong>, Ethereum<\/strong> restant sous $1,900<\/strong> et Solana<\/strong> se maintenant autour de la mi-70 $<\/strong>. La baisse refl\u00e8te des prises de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices, l\u2019incertitude li\u00e9e aux retards de la r\u00e9glementation am\u00e9ricaine sur les cryptomonnaies et une rotation des investisseurs vers les actions et les actifs li\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019IA<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Le graphique 4H de BTC\/USD reste baissier \u00e0 neutre, avec 62,175<\/strong> comme support cl\u00e9 et 63,375<\/strong> comme r\u00e9sistance majeure. Configuration haussi\u00e8re :<\/strong> ACHAT \u00e0 62,250<\/strong>, SL 62,050<\/strong>, TP 63,375<\/strong>, RR 1:5.6<\/strong> uniquement apr\u00e8s un rejet haussier du support. Configuration baissi\u00e8re :<\/strong> VENTE \u00e0 62,100<\/strong> apr\u00e8s une cassure confirm\u00e9e sous 62 175, SL 62,400<\/strong>, TP 60,193<\/strong>, RR 1:6.4<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

STOCKS & INDICES : S&P 500 Index<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week , U.S. equities extended their winning streak for a third consecutive week, although prices weakened toward the close. The S&P 500 climbed 0.4% to fresh record levels, while the Nasdaq posted a modest gain and the Dow slipped 0.6%. Softer inflation figures and upbeat corporate results supported sentiment, while disappointing retail sales and higher crude oil prices limited further gains. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Le SPX en 4H reste fortement haussier au-dessus de la ligne de tendance ascendante, avec ACHAT \u00e0 7 810, SL 7 700, TP 8 175, RR 1:3,3<\/strong> si la dynamique haussi\u00e8re se maintient, tandis qu\u2019une cassure confirm\u00e9e sous 7,458.53<\/strong> pourrait offrir un VENTE \u00e0 7 440, SL 7 520, TP 7 210, RR 1:2,9<\/strong>; alternativement, un fort rejet pr\u00e8s de 8,175<\/strong> pourrait offrir une VENTE \u00e0 8 150, SL 8 220, TP 7 458, RR 1:9,9<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Introduction Global financial markets ended last week with mixed performance as investors balanced softer U.S. economic data, shifting central-bank expectations, geopolitical risks and strong equity momentum. In forex, CADJPY led gains with a 1.59% (+179.3 pips) advance, while NZDCAD fell 0.72% (-59.2 pips). Gold climbed around 0.8% to close near $4,378\/oz, silver held around $64 […]<\/p>\n

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In forex, CADJPY led gains with a 1.59% (+179.3 pips) advance, while NZDCAD fell 0.72% (-59.2 pips). 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