{"id":3524,"date":"2026-08-17T06:43:02","date_gmt":"2026-08-17T06:43:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/?p=3524"},"modified":"2026-08-17T06:52:45","modified_gmt":"2026-08-17T06:52:45","slug":"weekly-market-outlook-gold-hits-4378-oil-gains-4-5-bitcoin-falls-to-62875-cadjpy-surges-1-59-whats-next-this-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/es\/weekly-market-outlook-gold-hits-4378-oil-gains-4-5-bitcoin-falls-to-62875-cadjpy-surges-1-59-whats-next-this-week\/","title":{"rendered":"WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK : GOLD Hits $4,378 , Oil Gains 4\u20135% , Bitcoin Falls to $62,875 & CADJPY Surges 1.59% \u2014 What\u2019s Next This Week?\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

Introducci\u00f3n<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los mercados financieros mundiales cerraron la semana pasada con un comportamiento mixto, ya que los inversores equilibraron unos datos econ\u00f3micos de EE. UU. m\u00e1s d\u00e9biles, cambios en las expectativas sobre los bancos centrales, riesgos geopol\u00edticos y un fuerte impulso burs\u00e1til.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En el mercado de divisas, CADJPY<\/strong> lider\u00f3 las ganancias con una 1,59% (+179,3 pips)<\/strong> subida, mientras que NZDCAD<\/strong> cay\u00f3 0,72% (-59,2 pips)<\/strong>. El oro subi\u00f3 alrededor de 0.8%<\/strong> para cerrar cerca de 4.378 $\/oz, la plata se mantuvo en torno a $64<\/strong> y el petr\u00f3leo crudo gan\u00f3 aproximadamente 4\u20135%<\/strong>, con USOIL cerca de 81\u201382 $<\/strong> y UKOIL en torno a 87\u201388 $<\/strong>. Sin embargo, Bitcoin retrocedi\u00f3 desde aproximadamente $65,000<\/strong> to $62,875<\/strong>, while U.S. stocks remained relatively strong, with the S&P 500 up about 0.4%<\/strong> y el Nasdaq ganando 0.1%<\/strong>, a pesar de que el Dow cay\u00f3 0.6%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De cara al futuro, los mercados prestar\u00e1n atenci\u00f3n a la inflaci\u00f3n del Reino Unido y a las Actas del FOMC de EE. UU. el 19 de agosto, con una previsi\u00f3n de inflaci\u00f3n en el Reino Unido de 2.9%<\/strong>, mientras los operadores eval\u00faan la posibilidad de un movimiento de tipos de la Fed en septiembre. Los niveles clave tambi\u00e9n seguir\u00e1n en foco: GBPUSD 1.35576<\/strong>, XAUUSD 4,332.56<\/strong>, USOIL 81.23<\/strong>, BTCUSD 62,175<\/strong>, and S&P 500 7.810\u20138.175<\/strong>, which could determine whether bullish momentum continues or markets enter a deeper correction. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Previous Week’s Important Events and Impact: <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Forex:<\/strong> CADJPY<\/strong> fue el par m\u00e1s fuerte de la semana pasada, subiendo 1,59% (+179,3 pips)<\/strong>, respaldado por unos s\u00f3lidos datos de empleo en Canad\u00e1, una ca\u00edda del desempleo hasta 6.4%<\/strong>, unos precios del crudo m\u00e1s firmes y unas expectativas m\u00e1s bajas de una subida de tipos de la Fed. Mientras tanto, NZDCAD<\/strong> fue el m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil, descendiendo 0,72% (-59,2 pips)<\/strong> , ya que unas expectativas de inflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s d\u00e9biles en Nueva Zelanda y las tensiones geopol\u00edticas impulsaron la demanda de USD como activo refugio<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Materias primas:<\/strong> El oro se mantuvo por encima de 4.350 $\/oz<\/strong>, mientras que la plata se mantuvo cerca de 64 $\/oz<\/strong>, respaldada por unos datos m\u00e1s d\u00e9biles en EE. UU. y unas menores expectativas de subidas de tipos de la Fed. El petr\u00f3leo Brent cotiz\u00f3 en torno a 83\u201389 $\/barril<\/strong>, impulsado por las tensiones en Oriente Medio y las preocupaciones sobre el suministro a trav\u00e9s del estrecho de Ormuz<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cripto:<\/strong> Bitcoin se debilit\u00f3 desde alrededor de 65.000 $ hasta 62.875 $<\/strong>, reflejando las preocupaciones por los retrasos regulatorios en EE. UU., el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico y unos flujos institucionales m\u00e1s d\u00e9biles. AKEDO (AKE)<\/strong> se dispar\u00f3 m\u00e1s de 91%<\/strong>, mientras que LAB<\/strong> cay\u00f3 casi 20%<\/strong>, convirti\u00e9ndose en uno de los mayores perdedores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks & Indices:<\/strong> Las bolsas estadounidenses cerraron la semana con resultados mixtos, con el S&P 500 gaining around 1.01%<\/strong> en una medida y 0.4%<\/strong> en la lectura semanal m\u00e1s amplia del \u00edndice, mientras que el Nasdaq subi\u00f3 un 0,1%<\/strong> para prolongar su racha ganadora a tres semanas. El Dow Jones cay\u00f3 un 0,6%<\/strong>, presionado por la debilidad de las ventas minoristas de julio, un sentimiento del consumidor m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil y unos precios del petr\u00f3leo m\u00e1s altos. Entre las acciones individuales, Broadcom (AVGO) cay\u00f3 casi un 6% el 14 de agosto<\/strong>, mientras que AMD<\/strong> y SanDisk<\/strong> posted gains. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eventos importantes de esta semana:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

FOREX : GBPUSD<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tasa de inflaci\u00f3n del Reino Unido y actas del FOMC de EE. UU.:<\/strong> Esta semana, el mercado de divisas se centrar\u00e1 en dos eventos clave: Tasa de inflaci\u00f3n del Reino Unido<\/strong> dato el mi\u00e9rcoles, 19 de agosto, a las 6:00 AM GMT, con una previsi\u00f3n de 2.9%<\/strong>, tras la ca\u00edda de junio hasta 2.6%<\/strong>, principalmente debido al abaratamiento de los costes de transporte y combustible y Actas del FOMC de EE. UU.<\/strong> a las 6:00 PM GMT, que podr\u00edan aportar m\u00e1s pistas sobre una posible subida de tipos en septiembre<\/strong> after three Fed officials supported a 25-basis-point increase in July.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

GBP\/USD est\u00e1 probando una resistencia clave en 1.35576<\/strong>. Una ruptura y un retesteo por encima de este nivel podr\u00edan apoyar un BUY<\/strong> hacia 1.37327<\/strong>, con SL 1,34965<\/strong> y un RR de alrededor de 1:2.7<\/strong>. Un rechazo podr\u00eda desencadenar un VENDER<\/strong> hacia 1.34488<\/strong>, con SL 1,35800<\/strong> y un RR de alrededor de 1:2.7<\/strong>. Una ruptura por debajo de 1.34965<\/strong> reforzar\u00eda la perspectiva bajista hacia 1.33819<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

METALES : XAUUSD ( ORO )<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El oro subi\u00f3 alrededor de 0.8%<\/strong> la semana pasada para cerrar cerca de 4.378 $\/oz<\/strong>, despu\u00e9s de alcanzar unos $4,448<\/strong> antes de retroceder por recogida de beneficios. Las ganancias estuvieron respaldadas por una inflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s suave en EE. UU., unas apuestas reducidas de subidas de tipos y las persistentes tensiones en Oriente Medio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Precio del oro (XAUUSD) <\/strong>sigue siendo alcista por encima de la l\u00ednea de tendencia ascendente y el soporte en 4.332,56<\/strong>. Bullish scenario:<\/strong> Comprar por encima de 4,332.56<\/strong>, SL 4,266.45<\/strong>, TP 4,523.47<\/strong>, RR \u2248 1:2,9<\/strong>. Bearish scenario:<\/strong> Vender por debajo de 4,332.56<\/strong>, SL 4,380.00<\/strong>, TP 4,214.55<\/strong>, RR \u2248 1:2,5<\/strong>; un movimiento m\u00e1s profundo podr\u00eda apuntar a 4,141.65<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

ENERGY : USOIL & UKOIL<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El petr\u00f3leo crudo gan\u00f3 alrededor de 4\u20135%<\/strong> en la semana, a pesar de un retroceso 2%<\/strong> tard\u00edo, con USOIL cerca de 81\u201382 $<\/strong> y UKOIL en torno a 87\u201388 $<\/strong>. Los precios estuvieron respaldados por las tensiones en el estrecho de Ormuz<\/strong> y el estancamiento de la diplomacia entre EE. UU. e Ir\u00e1n, mientras que un aumento de inventarios en EE. UU. de 17,4 millones de barriles<\/strong> and weaker global demand forecasts limited further gains. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

El precio de USOIL<\/strong> sigue siendo alcista por encima de la l\u00ednea de tendencia ascendente y el soporte en 81,23<\/strong>. Bullish scenario:<\/strong> Comprar por encima de 82.45<\/strong>, SL 81.23<\/strong>, TP 85.38<\/strong>, RR = 1:2,4<\/strong>. Bearish scenario:<\/strong> Vender por debajo de 81.23<\/strong>, SL 82.45<\/strong>, TP 78.66<\/strong>, RR = 1:2,0<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CRIPTO : BTCUSD ( BITCOIN )<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El mercado cripto<\/strong> sufri\u00f3 una amplia presi\u00f3n vendedora la semana pasada, con Bitcoin<\/strong> retrocediendo hacia $62,875<\/strong>, Ethereum<\/strong> permaneciendo por debajo de $1,900<\/strong> y Solana<\/strong> manteni\u00e9ndose alrededor de los 70 altos<\/strong>. La ca\u00edda reflej\u00f3 recogida de beneficios, la incertidumbre por los retrasos en la regulaci\u00f3n cripto en EE. UU. y la rotaci\u00f3n de los inversores hacia las acciones y los activos relacionados con la IA<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

BTC\/USD 4H sigue bajista a neutral, con 62,175<\/strong> como soporte clave y 63,375<\/strong> como resistencia principal. Configuraci\u00f3n alcista:<\/strong> COMPRAR en 62,250<\/strong>, SL 62,050<\/strong>, TP 63,375<\/strong>, RR 1:5.6<\/strong> solo tras un rechazo alcista desde el soporte. Configuraci\u00f3n bajista:<\/strong> VENDER en 62,100<\/strong> despu\u00e9s de una ruptura confirmada por debajo de 62.175, SL 62,400<\/strong>, TP 60,193<\/strong>, RR 1:6.4<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

STOCKS & INDICES : S&P 500 Index<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week , U.S. equities extended their winning streak for a third consecutive week, although prices weakened toward the close. The S&P 500 climbed 0.4% to fresh record levels, while the Nasdaq posted a modest gain and the Dow slipped 0.6%. Softer inflation figures and upbeat corporate results supported sentiment, while disappointing retail sales and higher crude oil prices limited further gains. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

SPX 4H sigue fuertemente alcista por encima de la l\u00ednea de tendencia ascendente, con COMPRAR en 7.810, SL 7.700, TP 8.175, RR 1:3,3<\/strong> si se mantiene el impulso alcista, mientras que una ruptura confirmada por debajo de 7,458.53<\/strong> podr\u00eda ofrecer un VENDER en 7.440, SL 7.520, TP 7.210, RR 1:2,9<\/strong>; alternativamente, un fuerte rechazo cerca de 8,175<\/strong> podr\u00eda proporcionar un VENDER en 8.150, SL 8.220, TP 7.458, RR 1:9,9<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Introduction Global financial markets ended last week with mixed performance as investors balanced softer U.S. economic data, shifting central-bank expectations, geopolitical risks and strong equity momentum. In forex, CADJPY led gains with a 1.59% (+179.3 pips) advance, while NZDCAD fell 0.72% (-59.2 pips). Gold climbed around 0.8% to close near $4,378\/oz, silver held around $64 […]<\/p>\n

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