Week Ahead June 26 – 30
EURUSD pair closed last week’s trading session lower on deteriorated economic releases from the EU and on hawkish comments of FED’s Powell during his testimony. The deteriorated economic releases in the EU may weight negative on ECB’s next interest rate decision and hold interest rates unchanged. In such event the pair may suffer more losses as the divergence between the two central banks is closing.
As for this week traders and investors will mainly focus on economic releases from both the US and the EU with the main ones the CPI. The numbers will defy the next central banks’ rate decisions. A higher than expected number will add odds for another rate hike. The lower than expected will keep both central banks on hold.
El jueves, el índice armonizado de precios al consumo alemán, que se espera que suba hasta el 6,7%, y el producto interior bruto estadounidense, que no variará hasta el 1,3%. El viernes, las ventas minoristas alemanas, que bajarán hasta el -6,7%, el índice armonizado de precios al consumo de la UE, que subirá hasta el 5,5%, y la confianza de los consumidores de Michigan, que no variará hasta el 63,9TP3T.
Technically the picture is neutral after last week’s break and close below 23.6%. In this week’s trading session if pair resumes on the upside will re-test 1.1100 if breaks above will re-test 1.1100 (0%) Alternative a break and close below 1.0814 (38.2%) will change the picture back to negative and test 1.0720 (50%). Our traders are short at 1.0915 -1.1000 targeting profits at 1.0800 we are expecting more aggressive short sellers on the way up and new buyers at 1.0815
GBPUSD pair closed last week’s trading session lower after BOE hike interest rates by 0.5%. As it was widely expected and priced-in the initial reaction was a spike on the upside that later erased by a downside move. The hawkish comments from FED’s Powell during his testimony weighted negative on pair and resulted to more losses.
As for this week traders and investors will mainly focus on the economic releases. The speeches from BOE’s officials will be closely monitor as will provide information on the next rate decision of the central bank.
En el calendario económico tenemos el martes, los pedidos de bienes duraderos de EE.UU. apuntando a la baja en -1% El jueves, el producto interior bruto de EE.UU. sin cambios en 1.3% El viernes, se espera que el producto interior bruto del Reino Unido se mantenga sin cambios en 0.1% y el sentimiento del consumidor de Michigan de EE.UU. sin cambios en 63.9
Technically the pair is positive after last week’s close, at 1.2717 As for this week, if pair continues on the upside, will re-test 1.2923 Alternative, if continues on the downside, will retest 1.2510 (23.6%) New short sellers appeared at 1.2790 targeting profits at 1.2510 we are expecting more aggressive short sellers on the way up and new buyers at 1.2510
Para conocer con más detalle los acontecimientos del calendario económico, visite nuestro calendario económico en directo en:
https://tentrade.com/economic-calendar/
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