{"id":3944,"date":"2026-10-05T06:30:52","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T06:30:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/?p=3944"},"modified":"2026-10-05T06:33:06","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T06:33:06","slug":"weekly-market-outlook-october-5-9-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/en\/weekly-market-outlook-october-5-9-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Outlook: USD\/JPY Eyes 160.14, Gold Targets 4,468.91, WTI Eyes 99.61, Bitcoin Targets 101,400 &amp; NVIDIA Eyes 265.91 \u2014 What\u2019s Next This Week?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Last week saw mixed market performance, with USD\/JPY gaining 72 pips (+0.46%), EUR\/USD dropping 120 pips (-1.05%), gold falling 3.36%, and Bitcoin rising 0.53%. This week, traders will focus on the October 7 FOMC Minutes, US economic data, Treasury yields, and geopolitical tensions for fresh opportunities across forex, gold, oil, Bitcoin, and NVIDIA.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 id=\"h-previous-week-s-market-recap\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Previous Week&#8217;s Market Recap<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Forex:<\/strong> USD\/JPY was the strongest major pair, rising from around <strong>157.28 to 158.00<\/strong>, gaining approximately <strong>72 pips (+0.46%)<\/strong>, as higher U.S. Treasury yields and persistent dollar strength kept the yen under pressure. EUR\/USD was the weakest major pair, falling from around <strong>1.1375 to 1.1255<\/strong>, losing about <strong>120 pips (-1.05%)<\/strong>, while GBP\/USD declined from around <strong>1.3211 to 1.3195<\/strong>, slipping roughly <strong>16 pips (-0.12%)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Metals:<\/strong> Gold was the strongest major precious metal, recovering from its sharp Monday sell-off but ultimately falling from around <strong>$4,287 to $4,143 per ounce<\/strong>, losing approximately <strong>$144 (-3.36%)<\/strong>. Silver was weaker, sliding more than <strong>6%<\/strong> to around <strong>60.42\u2013<\/strong><strong>60.50<\/strong>, as elevated Treasury yields, a firm dollar and higher-for-longer Fed expectations pressured precious metals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Energy:<\/strong> Oil markets remained highly volatile. WTI crude moved from around <strong>$92.41 to $91.11<\/strong>, falling approximately <strong>$1.30 (-1.4%)<\/strong>, while Brent declined from around <strong>$104.32 to $102.25<\/strong>, losing about <strong>$2.07 (-2.0%)<\/strong>. Prices came under pressure toward the end of the week as recovering Middle Eastern export flows and discussions around releasing crude and fuel stockpiles eased some supply concerns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Crypto:<\/strong> Bitcoin was relatively resilient, rising from around <strong>$83,867 to $84,308<\/strong>, gaining approximately <strong>$441 (+0.53%)<\/strong> for the week. BTC initially fell toward <strong>$83,231<\/strong> on September 28 before recovering above <strong>$84,000<\/strong> as the week progressed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Stocks:<\/strong> <strong>NVIDIA (NVDA)<\/strong> was the strongest among the selected major stocks, rising approximately <strong>3.95%<\/strong> to close at <strong>$233.95<\/strong>, supported by continued AI-related demand and renewed investor interest following its major buyback authorization. <strong>META<\/strong> was comparatively weaker, falling approximately <strong>3.14%<\/strong> to <strong>$728.08<\/strong>, giving back part of its strong September advance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Indices:<\/strong> U.S. major indices delivered mixed results. The <strong>Nasdaq Composite<\/strong> was the strongest U.S. major index, gaining approximately <strong>0.45%<\/strong> to close at <strong>27,190.86<\/strong>, while the <strong>S&amp;P 500<\/strong> fell <strong>0.27%<\/strong> to <strong>7,722.72<\/strong> and the <strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average<\/strong> declined <strong>1.26%<\/strong> to <strong>51,176.96<\/strong>. The <strong>Nikkei 225<\/strong> was notably stronger, rising from <strong>66,363.98 to 68,309.24<\/strong>, gaining approximately <strong>2.93%<\/strong> as Japanese equities recovered.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-6-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3946\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.5;width:624px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-6-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-6-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-6-18x12.png 18w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-6-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-6.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Important Events This Week:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>FOREX : USDJPY<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Forex markets will focus on the <strong>FOMC Minutes on Wednesday 7th<\/strong>, US ISM Services PMI on Monday and US Trade Balance on Tuesday. <strong>Fed speakers, Treasury yields and geopolitical developments<\/strong> could drive further USD\/JPY volatility.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>USDJPY<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"468\" src=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-5-1024x468.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3945\" style=\"aspect-ratio:2.1894736842105265;width:624px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-5-1024x468.png 1024w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-5-300x137.png 300w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-5-766x350.png 766w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-5-1536x702.png 1536w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-5-18x8.png 18w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-5.png 1756w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USD\/JPY is testing key support around 157.75. A break and hold above 159.09 could support a BUY toward 160.14, with SL 157.75 and RR around 1:0.8. A rejection from 159.09 could trigger a SELL toward 153.90, with SL 160.14 and RR around 1:5.0. A break below 157.75 would strengthen the bearish outlook toward 153.90. <strong>Always apply risk management.<\/strong><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>METALS : XAUUSD ( GOLD )<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold will be driven mainly by the <strong>FOMC Minutes, Fed rate expectations and US Treasury yields<\/strong>. A dovish Fed tone could support gold, while a stronger dollar and higher yields may pressure prices. <strong>Geopolitical tensions<\/strong> remain an additional safe-haven driver.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"465\" src=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-7-1024x465.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3947\" style=\"aspect-ratio:2.204946996466431;width:624px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-7-1024x465.png 1024w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-7-300x136.png 300w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-7-767x348.png 767w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-7-18x8.png 18w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-7-1536x697.png 1536w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-7.png 1757w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold (XAU\/USD) is testing key support around 4,110.17. A break and hold above 4,273.09 could support a BUY toward 4,468.91, with SL 4,110.17 and RR around 1:1.2. A rejection from 4,273.09 could trigger a SELL toward 4,054.17, with SL 4,468.91 and RR around 1:1.1. A break below 4,110.17 would strengthen the bearish outlook toward 4,077.27\u20134,054.17. Always apply risk management.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>ENERGY : USOIL&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oil markets will remain focused on <strong>OPEC+ supply policy, Middle East tensions and Strait of Hormuz risks<\/strong>. Supply disruptions and developments involving Iran and Gulf exports could keep crude prices highly volatile.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"469\" src=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-9-1024x469.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3949\" style=\"aspect-ratio:2.1894736842105265;width:624px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-9-1024x469.png 1024w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-9-300x137.png 300w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-9-766x351.png 766w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-9-18x8.png 18w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-9-1536x704.png 1536w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-9.png 1742w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) is testing key support around 89.04. A break and hold above 93.44 could support a BUY toward 99.61, with SL 89.04 and RR around 1:1.5. A rejection from 93.44 could trigger a SELL toward 86.53, with SL 99.61 and RR around 1:1.1. A break below 89.04 would strengthen the bearish outlook toward 86.53, with 83.89 as a further downside level. Always apply risk management.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>CRYPTO : BTCUSD ( BITCOIN )<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bitcoin will react to <strong>Fed policy expectations, the FOMC Minutes, Treasury yields and dollar strength<\/strong>. ETF flows, institutional demand and overall risk sentiment will also influence BTC this week.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"472\" src=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-8-1024x472.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3948\" style=\"aspect-ratio:2.1666666666666665;width:624px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-8-1024x472.png 1024w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-8-300x138.png 300w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-8-766x353.png 766w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-8-1536x708.png 1536w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-8-18x8.png 18w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-8.png 1752w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bitcoin (BTC\/USD) is testing key resistance around <strong>86,520<\/strong>. A break and hold above <strong>86,520<\/strong> could support a <strong>BUY<\/strong> toward <strong>101,400<\/strong>, with SL <strong>81,367<\/strong> and RR around <strong>1:2.9<\/strong>. A rejection from <strong>86,520<\/strong> could trigger a <strong>SELL<\/strong> toward <strong>77,322<\/strong>, with SL <strong>89,500<\/strong> and RR around <strong>1:2.4<\/strong>. A break below <strong>81,367<\/strong> would strengthen the bearish outlook toward <strong>77,322\u201374,481<\/strong>. Always apply risk management.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>STOCKS : NVIDIA&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NVIDIA will remain sensitive to <strong>AI-chip demand, Treasury yields and technology-sector momentum<\/strong>. Investors will also monitor developments surrounding its <strong>$12.93 billion Hugging Face acquisition<\/strong> and the beginning of Q3 earnings season.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"473\" src=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-10-1024x473.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3950\" style=\"aspect-ratio:2.1666666666666665;width:624px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-10-1024x473.png 1024w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-10-300x138.png 300w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-10-767x354.png 767w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-10-18x8.png 18w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-10-1536x709.png 1536w, https:\/\/tentrade.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-10.png 1757w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NVIDIA (NVDA) is testing key resistance around <strong>236.72<\/strong>. A break and hold above <strong>236.72<\/strong> could support a <strong>BUY<\/strong> toward <strong>265.91<\/strong>, with SL <strong>226.62<\/strong> and RR around <strong>1:2.9<\/strong>. A rejection from <strong>236.72<\/strong> could trigger a <strong>SELL<\/strong> toward <strong>218.68<\/strong>, with SL <strong>240.00<\/strong> and RR around <strong>1:5.5<\/strong>. A break below <strong>226.62<\/strong> would strengthen the bearish outlook toward <strong>218.68\u2013213.11<\/strong>. Always apply risk management.&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last week saw mixed market performance, with USD\/JPY gaining 72 pips (+0.46%), EUR\/USD dropping 120 pips (-1.05%), gold falling 3.36%, and Bitcoin rising 0.53%. This week, traders will focus on the October 7 FOMC Minutes, US economic data, Treasury yields, and geopolitical tensions for fresh opportunities across forex, gold, oil, Bitcoin, and NVIDIA.&nbsp; Previous Week&#8217;s [&#8230;]<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"btn btn-secondary understrap-read-more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/tentrade.com\/en\/weekly-market-outlook-october-5-9-2026\/\">Read More&#8230;<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> from Weekly Market Outlook: USD\/JPY Eyes 160.14, Gold Targets 4,468.91, WTI Eyes 99.61, Bitcoin Targets 101,400 &amp; NVIDIA Eyes 265.91 \u2014 What\u2019s Next This Week?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3944","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-articles","category-outlook"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.6 (Yoast SEO v28.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Outlook: USD\/JPY Eyes 160.14, Gold Targets 4,468.91, WTI Eyes 99.61, Bitcoin Targets 101,400 &amp; NVIDIA Eyes 265.91 \u2014 What\u2019s Next This Week? 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